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Dear all,
I still remember the first time I saw a yield curve inversion up close.
It was early in my journey as a macro investor - I was young, eager, filled with charts and opinions, but still blind to the deeper rhythms that drive financial markets.
Back then, the yield curve felt like one of those complicated academic concepts meant for textbooks, not trading desks.
But one day, a mentor pulled me aside and said, "Alessandro, when the curve inverts, it’s not about what’s happening - it’s about what’s coming."
That sentence never left me.
Since then, I’ve learned that markets don’t scream when regimes change.
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