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Macro Mornings 💡

💣 The Next Move Could Be Violent

August 9, 2025 >> The Explosive Mix That Could Catapult Gold Beyond All Records

Alessandro (Macro Strategist)'s avatar
Alessandro (Macro Strategist)
Aug 09, 2025
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Dear all,

This year, I’ve been watching gold with the same kind of focus you’d give to an unfolding drama - every move matters.

In 2025 alone, gold has surged 28% ytd and a remarkable 43% over the past 12 months, more than doubling the S&P 500’s ~21% return over the same period.

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On the leaderboard of global assets, gold sits at the very top with a 29% total return, eclipsing equities, bonds, and even Bitcoin.

On a risk-adjusted basis, it’s even more impressive: a 2.0 ratio compared to high-yield credit’s 1.7 and investment-grade credit’s 1.3.

The last time I saw such dominance was in 2010 - 2011, when gold soared nearly 47% in a year.

But unlike that period - fueled by a narrow set of fears - today’s climb feels anchored in deep, structural changes that could persist.


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