π― (15 Bonus Updates) Do you know what Warren Buffett are doing? π
π‘ Exclusive Macro & Business Insights
Hi, and welcome back to The Macro & Business Insights!
(15 Bonus Updates) π
π¨ US EARNINGS OF THE S&P 500 COMPANIES IN Q1 WERE BETTER THAN EXPECTED
β βS&P 500 companies have released their results for Q1, and 75% have performed better than expected.β
π As my subscriber you get totally FREE my weekly summary and exclusive research that I do and share only with you.
You won't find these materials shared by me on any other platform.
β βLooking forward to Q2, among the S&P 500 companies, 37 enterprises have issued positive EPS guidance, whereas 50 enterprises have issued negative EPS guidance.β
β βAt present, it is still expected by analysts that the earnings of S&P 500 companies would resume year-over-year growth in Q3.β
β βHowever, due to the uncertain economic prospects, diminishing risk tolerance of lenders, deteriorating collateral value, and concerns about the banksβ financing costs and liquidity, the US bank credit is tightening, whereas loan demands are also plummeting, thus casting a shadow over the overall economic demands in the future.β
β βIn addition, given that the business cycle and the monetary policy cycle have yet to complete their due process, corporate earnings are unlikely to meet the conditions for the reversal of declines.β
π EUROPEAN STOCKS WERE LESS VOLATILE THAN US STOCKS, BUT INFLATION ISSUES SHALL NOT BE IGNORED
β βJudging from our analysis, the decline in the volatility of European stocks is attributable to the recent signs of stabilization in the European economy.β
β βThe European Commission has just raised its forecast for the Eurozone economic growth to 1.1% and 1.6% in 2023 and in 2024, respectively, mainly driven by the rapid growth of economies such as Italy and Spain.β
β βAccording to the forecast of Bloomberg, the chance of a recession in the Eurozone economy in 2023 would drop from 80% in early 2023 to 40% over the recent days, indicating that the marketβs concerns about an economic recession in the Eurozone have cooled after the resolution of the European energy issue.β
π WHAT WARREN BUFFETT ARE DOING?
β βWarren Buffett increased its positions in Japanβs top five trading houses and paid a visit to Japan, thus driving the hedge funds of the Wall Street such as Point72, Citadel, Blackstone, and KKR to pay visits to Japan one after another.β
β βIn April, foreign investors achieved a net purchase of USD 22 billion worth of Japanese stocks and futures.β
β βDue to the recovery of the tourism sector, schemes of strong capital expenditure, and the BoJβs policy of monetary easing, the economic prospects have been improved in Japan.β
β βIn addition, the Tokyo Stock Exchange has called on companies with stock prices below book value to develop capital improvement schemes, thus sparking a wave of repurchases. Leading companies including Softbank, Toyota, and Mitsubishi have all announced new plans of stock repurchases.β
π READ THE FULL PAPER
If you appreciate this content I'd ask you to share this newsletter with your friends/colleagues passionate like you about financial markets. You will pay off my hard work, thank you very much.
WATCH MY LAST YOUTUBE VIDEO π
Be my friend
π Sign up to my weekly email newsletter
π My website / blog
π¦ Twitter
π PODCAST
π΅ Spotify Podcast
π΅ Apple Podcast
π΅ Google Podcast
π΅ Amazon Music
Best regards,
Ale
Disclosure
This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument.Β This material has been prepared for informational purposes only. Any forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only and are not to be relied upon as advice or interpreted as a recommendation.